Market announcement

AS LHV Group

LEI code

529900JG015JC10LED24

Size of the entity

Large group

Economic activities

Financial and Insurance Activities

Industry sector(s)

Credit institution

Country of registered office

Estonia

General information

Categories

Other corporate action

Unique data record identifier

18197

Submission date and time

12.02.2026 08:00:01

Content of announcement in Estonian

Title

LHV Groupi 2026. aasta finantsplaan ja viie aasta finantsprognoos

Message

2026. aastal keskendub LHV Group ärimahtude ja kliendiaktiivsuse jätkuvale
kasvatamisele ning varasemast efektiivsemale tegutsemisele. Kogutulu kasvab
ligikaudu 9%, mida toetab nii netointressitulu suurenemine kui ka tugev
teenustasutulu kasv. Kulud kasvavad tuludest aeglasemalt, võimaldades
äritegevuse kasumlikkusel marginaalselt kasvada, samas kui laenude allahindluste
kulu normaliseerub pärast erakordselt madalat 2025. aastat. Puhaskasum püsib
seetõttu sarnasel tasemel eelmise aastaga.

Laenuportfell kasvab üle 11% ja hoiused enam kui 5%, kinnitades LHV tugevat
positsiooni nii jae- kui äriklientide seas. Netointressitulu on käesoleval
aastal küll kasvamas, kuid selle mõju on väiksem, mistõttu jääb puhaskasum
2026. aastal ligikaudu eelmise aasta tasemele, kuid paranenud efektiivsus ja
kasvav äritegevus loovad tugeva aluse kasumlikkuse ning omanikutootluse
kiirenemiseks järgnevatel aastatel.


  Võtmenäitajad                                      2025    FP 2026      ?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Neto intressitulu (miljonit eurot)                 235,1    252,9      8%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Neto teenutasutulu (miljonit eurot)                63,3     77,8       23%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Netotulud kokku (miljonit eurot)                   304,8    333,6      9%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Maksude-eelne kasum (miljonit eurot)               144,0    147,1      2%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Puhaskasum (miljonit eurot)                        117,0    117,9      1%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Hoiused (miljonit eurot)                           8134     8577       5%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Laenud (miljonit eurot)                            5465     6082       11%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Fondide maht (miljonit eurot)                      1702     1898       12%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Finantsvahendajatega seotud maksete arv (mln tk)    86       93        8%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Kulu/tulu suhe (%)                                 52,3%    51,3%    -0,9 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  ROE* (tulumaksueelne; omanike osa) (%)             19,9%    18,7%    -1,2 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  ROE* (puhaskasumilt; omanike osa) (%)              16,1%    15,0%    -1,2 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Kapitali adekvaatsus (%)                           22,8%    20,9%    -2,0 pp

 * Arvutatud perioodi kuu lõpu keskmiste omakapitali mahtude alusel


LHV Pank

LHV Panga finantsprognoosi keskmes on kvaliteedile ja tootlusele fokusseeritud
kasv. Laenuportfell suureneb ligikaudu 4%, mida veavad eeskätt eluasemelaenud
ning SME- ja ärilaenude kasv. Hoiuste struktuur muutub stabiilsemaks ja
kasumlikumaks, kus suurima osana regulaarsete klientide nõudmiseni hoiused
kasvavad ligi 16%, kompenseerides teadlikku taandumist finantsvahendajate ja
platvormide hoiustest. Hoiuste tase tervikuna püsib sarnasel tasemel eelmise
aastaga.

Tulude poolel kasvab kogutulu üle 10%, mida toetab mõõdukas netointressitulu
kasv ja tugev ligi 30% teenustasutulu kasv, peegeldades klientide aktiivsuse
suurenemist ning uute klientide lisandumist maksete, FX-, investeerimis- ja
kaarditeenuste vallas. Kulud kasvavad tuludest aeglasemalt, võimaldades kulude-
tulude suhtel paraneda 42,7%-lt 41,8%-ni, samas kui riskikulu püsib madalal
tasemel.

LHV Bank

LHV Banki finantsprognoos 2026. aastaks näitab kiirenevat kasvu, kus ärimahud ja
tulubaas laienevad kiiremini kui kulud. Hoiused kasvavad ligikaudu 37%,
peegeldades tugevat jaemüügi kasvu ning stabiilset nõudlust tähtajaliste hoiuste
järele, samal ajal kui laenuportfell suureneb enam kui 50%, liikudes
sihipäraselt 1 miljardi euro taseme suunas.

Tulude poolel kasvab kogutulu ligi 20%, mida toetab tugev netointressitulu kasv
ning kiire netoteenustasutulu kasv, mis ennekõike tuleneb teenustasukulude
vähenemisest seoses maksete kogumise teenuse lõpetamisega. Kulud kasvavad
tuludest aeglasemalt ning kulude-tulude suhe paraneb 83%-lt 77%-ni, kinnitades
operatiivse efektiivsuse paranemist. Selle tulemusena suureneb maksueelne kasum
ligikaudu 68% ja puhaskasum ligi 80%, mis teeb 2026. aastast selge murranguaasta
LHV Banki kasumlikkuse teekonnal ning loob tugeva aluse edasiseks omakapitali
tootluse paranemiseks järgnevatel aastatel.

LHV Varahaldus

2026. aastal prognoosib LHV Varahaldus selget kasumlikkuse ja mahu kasvu, mida
veavad fonditootlused ja klientide arvu kasv. Fondimahud kasvavad ligikaudu
12%. See peegeldab nii konkurentsivõimelisi tootlusi kui ka edukamat müügi- ja
ristmüügimudelit.

Tulude poolel kasvab kogutulu üle 22%. Kulud kasvavad kontrollitult, ilma FTE-de
arvu suurenemiseta, võimaldades kulude-tulude suhtel paraneda 61,1%-lt 58,4%-ni.
Selle tulemusena kasvab maksueelne kasum ligi 30% ja puhaskasum üle 20%.

LHV Kindlustus

LHV Kindlustuse sõlmitud lepingute preemiad on tänavu planeeritud kasvama 12% ja
ulatuvad 48 miljoni euroni. Kasv tugineb eeskätt ristmüügile LHV Groupi siseselt
ning digitaalsetele mobiili- ja veebikanalitele. Kahjusagedus püsib stabiilsena
või veidi madalamal kui 2025. aastal, hoides kahjusuhte kontrolli all.

Tegevuskulude kasv 2026. aastal on planeeritud ligikaudu 12%, mis on kooskõlas
portfelli ja preemiate mahu kasvuga. Valdav osa kulude suurenemisest tuleneb
grupisisestest teenustest ja kulude jagamisest.


Finantsprognoos 2026-2030

LHV Groupi 2026-2030 finantsprognoos põhineb mõõdukalt paraneval
makromajanduslikul keskkonnal nii Eestis kui Ühendkuningriigis, kus majanduskasv
stabiliseerub ja inflatsioon normaliseerub ligikaudu 2-2,5% tasemele. Eestis
eeldatakse majanduskasvu kiirenemist alates 2026. aastast koos tööturu
järkjärgulise paranemisega, samas kui Ühendkuningriigis kujuneb kasv
tagasihoidlikumaks, kuid stabiilseks, toetades järjepidevat laenu ja hoiuste
tegevust. Konkurents pangandusturgudel püsib tugev, eriti laenude ja hoiuste
segmendis, mis rõhutab efektiivsuse ning distsiplineeritud hinnastamise
olulisust.

Selles raamistikus prognoosib LHV Group kogutulu kasvu ligikaudu 305 miljonilt
eurolt 2025. aastal ligi 593 miljoni euroni 2030. aastaks, mida toetab nii
netointressitulu kui ka teenustasutulu kasv. Ärimahud suurenevad peaaegu kaks
korda: netolaenud kasvavad ligikaudu 5,5 miljardilt eurolt üle 10 miljardi euro,
hoiused 8,1 miljardilt eurolt ligi 12,8 miljardi euroni ja varahaldusmahud 1,7
miljardilt eurolt üle 3 miljardi euro tasemele. Kulude kasv jääb tulude kasvust
selgelt aeglasemaks, võimaldades kulude-tulude suhtel paraneda üle 50% tasemelt
ligikaudu 36%-ni perioodi lõpuks.

Kasumlikkuse vaates peegeldub see kõik ka puhaskasumi, mis perioodi lõpuks on
prognoositud kahekordistuma 290 miljoni euroni ja omakapitali tootluses, kus ROE
tõuseb ligikaudu 16% tasemelt üle 23% 2030. aastaks.


 Võtmenäitajad                               FP2026 FP2027 FP2028 FP2029 FP2030
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Neto intressitulu (miljonit eurot)          252,9  315,1  362,9  409,4  464,4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Neto teenutasutulu (miljonit eurot)          77,8   90,8   97,0  107,1  117,7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Netotulud kokku (miljonit eurot)            333,6  410,0  466,2  525,1  593,4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Maksude-eelne kasum (miljonit eurot)        147,1  217,5  257,2  303,3  358,7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Puhaskasum (miljonit eurot)                 117,9  176,1  207,6  245,1  290,2
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Hoiused (miljonit eurot)                    8 577  9 562  10 512 11 607 12 814
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Laenud (miljonit eurot)                     6 082  7 083  8 067  9 152  10 147
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Fondide maht (miljonit eurot)               1 898  2 164  2 447  2 748  3 067
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Finantsvahendajatega seotud maksete arv
 (mln tk)                                      93    108    119    131    144
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Kulu/tulu suhe                              51,3%   43,1   40,9   38,2   35,8
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE (tulumaksueelne; omanike osa)           18,7%   24,7   26,0   27,4   28,9
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE* (puhaskasumilt; omanike osa)           15,0%   20,0   21,0   22,1   23,4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Kapitali adekvaatsus                        20,9%   20,5   20,9   20,8   20,5

LHV Groupi juhatuse esimehe Mihkel Torimi kommentaar:

"Eestis on LHV Panga fookus 2026. aastal kvaliteetsel ja mõõdukal kasvul.
Ühendkuningriigis laenuportfelli enam kui 50%-line ja puhaskasumi ligi 80%-line
oodatav kasv rajaneb juba mastaabi mõjule. LHV Varahaldus jätkab samuti tugeval
kasumlikkuse kursil, kasvatades puhaskasumit üle 20%. LHV Kindlustuse kasv tuleb
peamiselt meie oma kliendibaasi paremast teenindamisest läbi ristmüügi.

Meie pikaajaline finantsprognoos tugineb kolmele sambale. Esiteks kasvatame
ärimahtusid mõlemal koduturul. Teiseks arvestab meie plaan baasintressimäärade
mõõduka tõusuga alates 2027. aastast. Kolmandaks, ja kõige olulisemalt, tegeleme
pidevalt oma tegevuse tõhustamisega. Selle peamiseks veduriks on tehnoloogilise
võimekuse kiire arendamine, mis ei ole passiivne ootus, vaid eeldab meilt
sihipäraseid ja läbimõeldud muutuseid."


AS-i LHV Group aruanded on saadaval aadressil: https://investor.lhv.ee/aruanded
(https://investor.lhv.ee/aruanded/).

Majandustulemuste tutvustamiseks korraldab LHV Group veebiseminari Teams
keskkonna kaudu. Virtuaalne investorkohtumine toimub 12. veebruaril kell 9.00.
Esitlus tehakse eesti keeles. Palume registreeruda siin
(https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/adb8e207-2d5d-43da-b719-
cccae40bff6f@d7b2bdd1-6077-4f89-8708-6956b8db8f1a).

LHV Group on suurim kodumaine finantskontsern ja kapitali pakkuja Eestis. LHV
Groupi peamised tütarettevõtted on LHV Pank, LHV Varahaldus, LHV Kindlustus ja
LHV Bank Limited. Grupi ettevõtetes töötab ligi 1 200 inimest. LHV Panga
teenuseid kasutab detsembri lõpu seisuga 492 000 klienti, LHV hallatavatel II
samba pensionifondidel on 106 000 aktiivset klienti ja LHV Kindlustusega on
kaitstud 231 000 klienti. Groupi tütarettevõte LHV Bank omab Ühendkuningriigi
pangalitsentsi ning pakub pangateenuseid rahvusvahelistele finantstehnoloogia
ettevõtetele ja laenusid väikese ja keskmise suurusega ettevõtetele.


Investorsuhted
Sten Hans Jakobsoo
Investorsuhete ja ettevõtte arenduse juht
E-post: [email protected] (mailto:[email protected])

Meedia ja kommunikatsioon
Paul Pihlak
Kommunikatsioonijuht
E-post: [email protected]
(https://www.globenewswire.com/Tracker?data=PXnBlH5t6_HC1z82_Z3UsH7zv7KOSM8YVbgt
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Content of announcement in English

Title

LHV Group financial plan for 2026 and the five-year financial forecast

Message

In 2026, LHV Group will focus on continued growth in business volumes and
customer activity, alongside improved operational efficiency. Total income is
expected to increase by approximately 9%, supported by growth in net interest
income and strong growth in net fee and commission income. Expenses are
projected to grow more slowly than income, allowing operating profitability to
improve marginally, while loan loss provisions are expected to normalise
following the exceptionally low level in 2025. As a result, net profit is
forecasted to remain broadly at the level of the previous year.

The loan portfolio is expected to grow by over 11% and deposits by more than
5%, reflecting LHV's strong position among both retail and corporate customers.
Although net interest income is growing this year, its impact is more moderate,
meaning net profit in 2026 will remain close to last year's level. At the same
time, improved efficiency and expanding business volumes provide a strong
foundation for accelerating profitability and return on equity in the coming
years.

 Key indicators                                           2025  FP 2026    ?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net interest income (EURm)                               235.1  252.9    8%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net fee and commission income (EURm)                     63.3   77.8     23%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Total income (EURm)                                      304.8  333.6    9%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Profit before tax (EURm)                                 144.0  147.1    2%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net profit (EURm)                                        117.0  117.9    1%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Deposits (EURm)                                          8,134  8,577    5%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Loans (EURm)                                             5,465  6,082    11%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Assets under management (EURm)                           1,702  1,898    12%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Number of payments related to financial intermediaries
 (million pcs)                                             86     93      8%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Cost/income ratio                                        52.3%  51.3%  -0.9 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE* (before tax; owners' share)                         19.9%  18.7%  -1.2 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE* (from net profit; owners' share)                    16.1%  15.0%  -1.2 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Capital adequacy                                         22.8%  20.9%  -2.0 pp

*Calculated on the basis of the average end-of-month equity volumes


LHV Pank

LHV Pank's financial outlook is centred on quality-focused and return-oriented
growth. The loan portfolio is expected to increase by approximately 4%, driven
primarily by home loans and growth in SME and corporate lending. The structure
of deposits will become more stable and profitable, with demand deposits from
regular customers increasing by nearly 16%, offsetting a deliberate reduction in
deposits from financial intermediaries and platforms. Overall deposit volumes
are expected to remain broadly in line with the previous year.

Total income is forecasted to grow by more than 10%, supported by moderate
growth in net interest income and strong growth of nearly 30% in net fee and
commission income, reflecting higher customer activity and growth in the
customer base across payments, FX, investment and card services. Expenses are
expected to grow more slowly than income, allowing the cost-to-income ratio to
improve from 42.7% to 41.8%, while credit risk costs remain at a low level.

LHV Bank

LHV Bank's financial forecast for 2026 indicates accelerated growth, with
business volumes and income expanding faster than costs. Deposits are expected
to grow by approximately 37%, reflecting strong retail growth and continued
demand for term deposits. The loan portfolio is expected to increase by more
than 50%, moving purposefully towards the EUR 1 billion level.

Total income is projected to grow by nearly 20%, supported by strong growth in
net interest income and rapid growth in net fee and commission income, mainly
due to lower service fee expenses following the termination of the payment
collection service. Expenses are expected to grow more slowly than income, and
the cost-to-income ratio is projected to improve from 83% to 77%, reflecting
enhanced operational efficiency. As a result, profit before tax is expected to
increase by approximately 68% and net profit by nearly 80%, making 2026 a clear
breakthrough year in LHV Bank's profitability trajectory and creating a strong
basis for further improvement in return on equity in the coming years.

LHV Varahaldus

In 2026, LHV Varahaldus forecasts clear growth in profitability and volumes,
driven by fund returns and growth in the number of customers. Assets under
management are expected to increase by approximately 12%, supported by
competitive returns and a more effective sales and cross-selling model.

Total income is expected to grow by over 22%. Expenses will grow in a controlled
manner, without an increase in the number of FTEs, allowing the cost-to-income
ratio to improve from 61.1% to 58.4%. As a result, profit before tax is expected
to grow by nearly 30% and net profit by over 20%.

LHV Kindlustus

Gross written premiums of LHV Kindlustus are expected to grow by 12% in 2026,
reaching EUR 48 million. Growth is primarily driven by cross-selling within LHV
Group and digital mobile and web channels. Claims frequency is expected to
remain stable or slightly below the level of 2025, keeping the loss ratio under
control.

Operating expenses in 2026 are planned to increase by approximately 12%, in line
with portfolio and premium growth. The majority of the increase relates to
intra-group services and cost allocations.


Financial forecast for 2026-2030

LHV Group's financial forecast for 2026-2030 is based on a moderately improving
macroeconomic environment in both Estonia and the United Kingdom. Economic
growth is expected to stabilise and inflation to normalise at around 2-2.5%. In
Estonia, economic growth is assumed to accelerate from 2026, supported by
gradual labour market improvement, while in the United Kingdom growth is
expected to remain modest but stable, supporting consistent lending and deposit
activity. Competition in banking is expected to remain strong, particularly in
loans and deposits, underlining the importance of efficiency and disciplined
pricing.

Within this framework, LHV Group forecasts total income to increase from nearly
EUR 305 million in 2025 to over EUR 593 million by 2030, supported by growth in
both net interest income and net fee and commission income. Key business volumes
are expected to nearly double: net loans are projected to grow from
approximately EUR 5.5 billion to over EUR 10 billion, deposits from EUR 8.1
billion to nearly EUR 12.8 billion and assets under management from EUR 1.7
billion to over EUR 3 billion. Expense growth is expected to remain clearly
below income growth, allowing the cost-to-income ratio to improve from above
50% to approximately 36% by the end of the period.

Net profit is projected to double over the period to EUR 290 million, while
return on equity is expected to increase from approximately 16% to above 23% by
2030.


 Key indicators                              FP2026 FP2027 FP2028 FP2029 FP2030
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net interest income (EURm)                  252.9  315.1  362.9  409.4  464.4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net fee and commission income (EURm)         77.8   90.8   97.0  107.1  117.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Total income (EURm)                         333.6  410.0  466.2  525.1  593.4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Profit before tax (EURm)                    147.1  217.5  257.2  303.3  358.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Net profit (EURm)                           117.9  176.1  207.6  245.1  290.2
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Deposits (EURm)                             8,577  9,562  10,512 11,607 12,814
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Loans (EURm)                                6,082  7,083  8,067  9,152  10,147
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Assets under management (EURm)              1,898  2,164  2,447  2,748  3,067
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Number of payments related to financial
 intermediaries (million pcs)                  93    108    119    131    144
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Cost/income ratio                           51.3%  43.1%  40.9%  38.2%  35.8%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE* (before tax; owners' share)            18.7%  24.7%  26.0%  27.4%  28.9%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ROE* (from net profit; owners' share)       15.0%  20.0%  21.0%  22.1%  23.4%
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Capital adequacy                            20.9%  20.5%  20.9%  20.8%  20.5%

*Calculated on the basis of the average end-of-month equity volumes


Comment by Mihkel Torim, Chairman of the Management Board of LHV Group:

"In Estonia, LHV Pank's focus in 2026 is on high-quality and measured growth. In
the United Kingdom, the expected growth of more than 50% in the loan portfolio
and nearly 80% in net profit is already supported by scale effects. LHV
Varahaldus continues on a strong profitability trajectory, with net profit
expected to grow by over 20%. Growth at LHV Kindlustus is primarily driven by
improved service to our existing customer base through cross-selling.

Our long-term financial forecast rests on three pillars. First, we will continue
to grow business volumes in both of our home markets. Second, our plan assumes a
moderate increase in base interest rates from 2027 onwards. Third, and most
importantly, we are continuously improving operational efficiency. The main
driver of this is the rapid development of our technological capabilities, which
requires deliberate and well-considered transformation rather than passive
expectation."


The reports of AS LHV Group are available at:
https://investor.lhv.ee/en/reports/

To introduce the financial results and the financial plan, LHV Group will
organise a webinar via Microsoft Teams on 12 February at 13:00 (EET). The
presentation will be held in English. Please register here
(https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/e7eac8fd-b0da-
4419-8ba1-7eff3b05bbab@d7b2bdd1-6077-4f89-8708-6956b8db8f1a).

LHV Group is the largest domestic financial group and capital provider in
Estonia. LHV Group's key subsidiaries are LHV Pank, LHV Varahaldus, LHV
Kindlustus, and LHV Bank Limited. The Group employs approximately 1,200 people.
As at the end of December, the services of LHV Pank are being used by 492,000
customers, the II pillar pension funds managed by LHV have 106,000 active
customers, and LHV Kindlustus protects a total of 231,000 customers. LHV Bank
Limited, a subsidiary of the Group, holds a banking licence in the United
Kingdom and provides banking services to international financial technology
companies, as well as loans to small and medium-sized enterprises.


Investor relations
Sten Hans Jakobsoo
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development
Email: [email protected] (mailto:[email protected])

Media and communications
Paul Pihlak
Head of Communications
Email: [email protected]
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